The New England Patriots did not get to where they are by shying away from risk. And neither did Bill Belichick. Clearly anyone watching the game could see that the Patriots defense could not be trusted on the final drive if the Patriots had elected to punt.
It is reasonable to say the Colts had an 80% chance of scoring after a punt. And in all likelihood this would have left under 30 seconds (probably less) for the Patriots to counter with a field goal.
Going for it does 2 things:
1. You get 2 yards with the best unit on the field and you win.
2. You do not get it and the Colts put one in faster than they would have with a longer field. This almost happened on the second play of the drive if not for a tackle at the 1 yard line.
People do not understand the concept of risk. If something out of the ordinary is done and fails then it is obvious to them that convention would have worked. This is simply not true. But these people will never understand the concept. Because they make 29K per year working at INITECH.
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